Is JPMorgan Chase Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (2024)

The bank stock has gained 45% since November. Is it too late to buy?

Over the years, JPMorgan Chase (JPM 1.15%) has solidified its position as one of the best-run banks in the U.S. Over the past decade-and-a-half, JPMorgan has thrived despite a challenging operating environment for banks that included multiple recessions and a decade of ultra-low interest rates, followed by the recent era of rapidly rising rates.

Since November, JPMorgan Chase stock has gained about 45% and is priced at the higher end of its historical averages. If you're considering buying JPMorgan stock today, here's what you need to know first.

JPMorgan Chase is prepared for whatever is thrown at it

JPMorgan Chase has $3.4 trillion in total assets, making it the largest bank in the U.S. It has 34% more assets than its closest competitor, Bank of America, and nearly twice as many assets as the third-largest bank, Wells Fargo.

This growth didn't happen overnight. JPMorgan has a long history of prudent capital management, allowing it to capitalize during downturns and grow alongside the U.S. economy when things are going well. One part of its success is the leadership of Jamie Dimon, chief executive officer since 2006.

Dimon led JPMorgan through the Great Recession from late-2007 to mid-2009, which saw some of the largest bank failures in U.S. history. When Washington Mutual went under in 2008, JPMorgan Chase's prudence put it in a position to acquire the bank's assets for $1.9 billion.

JPMorgan has long taken a patient approach to putting its capital to work. For example, during the pandemic, banks were flush with deposits as economic stimulus funds hit bank accounts, and personal savings rose to record levels as consumer spending slowed amid shutdowns.

Is JPMorgan Chase Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (1)

Image source: Getty Images.

Many banks used this inflow of deposits to invest heavily in mortgage-backed securities or other loans despite the record-low interest rates at the time. Not JPMorgan. In early 2021, inflation was beginning to pick up, and Dimon told investors that the bank would look to protect the "fat tails," or the extreme risks outside of the norm, of rising inflation.

At the time, Dimon was concerned about accelerating inflation and rising interest rates, and sought to make the bank a "port of safety" for whatever storm may be on the horizon. The company effectively hoarded cash and patiently waited to put its capital to work.

That decision has paid off, reinforcing JPMorgan as one of the best-run banks in the U.S. Not only was it able to make loans at higher interest rates, but it was also well positioned amid the regional banking crisis last year. First Republic Bank, with $212 billion in assets, became the second-largest bank failure ever, and it was JPMorgan Chase that was best positioned to acquire its assets when the time came.

JPMorgan Chase is in a class of its own

JPMorgan is on firm financial footing and sits on a fortress balance sheet, which is evident when you compare its capital ratios to those of its peers.

One metric used in banking is the common equity tier 1 (CET1) ratio. The CET1 compares a bank's capital to its assets and shows how well it could absorb a financial shock. In the first quarter, JPMorgan's CET1 ratio came in about 15%, outpacing its peers, Bank of America (11.9%), Citigroup (13.5%), and Wells Fargo (11.2%).

Another key measure to evaluate banks is the return on tangible common equity (ROTCE). This metric shows how well a bank can generate earnings from its tangible common equity. In the first quarter, JPMorgan's ROTCE was 21%, compared to 12.7% at Bank of America, 7.6% at Citigroup, and 12.3% at Wells Fargo.

This outperformance has earned JPMorgan Chase stock a premium valuation compared to its peers. Today, the stock is valued at 2.39 times the bank's tangible book value, well above its peers and its 10-year average of 1.86.

Is JPMorgan Chase Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (2)

JPM Price to Tangible Book Value data by YCharts

Is JPMorgan Chase stock a buy?

After its run-up during the past several months, JPMorgan Chase sits on the more expensive side of its valuation, which could limit its upside potential in the near term.

Despite this, JPMorgan is one of the most efficient banks at generating profits, and prudent capital management history helps it ride out and thrive across economic cycles, making it an excellent choice for investors taking a long-term approach.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Bank of America is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Citigroup is an advertising partner of The Ascent, a Motley Fool company. Courtney Carlsen has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Is JPMorgan Chase Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool (2024)

FAQs

Is JPMorgan Chase Stock a Buy? | The Motley Fool? ›

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and JPMorgan Chase wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Is JPM a good stock to buy right now? ›

JPMorgan Chase & Co. has 10.27% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target. Is JPM a Buy, Sell or Hold? JPMorgan Chase & Co. has a consensus rating of Strong Buy which is based on 17 buy ratings, 5 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings.

What are the 10 stocks the Motley Fool recommends? ›

See the 10 stocks »

Mark Roussin, CPA has positions in AbbVie, Alphabet, Coca-Cola, Microsoft, Prologis, and Visa. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Chevron, Home Depot, Microsoft, NextEra Energy, Prologis, and Visa.

Is JP Morgan a good place to invest money? ›

The bottom line: J.P. Morgan Self-Directed Investing is a clear-cut investment platform that is great for beginners looking to learn how to buy and sell investments. More advanced investors, however, may find it lacking in terms of available assets and tools.

What is the 5 year forecast for JP Morgan stock? ›

JPMorgan Chase stock price stood at $197.07

According to the latest long-term forecast, JPMorgan Chase price will hit $200 by the end of 2024 and then $250 by the end of 2025. JPMorgan Chase will rise to $300 within the year of 2027, $350 in 2029, $400 in 2030, $450 in 2031 and $500 in 2034.

What is the market outlook for J.P. Morgan in 2024? ›

For the S&P 500, J.P. Morgan Research estimates earnings growth of 2–3% next year with earnings per share (EPS) of $225 and a price target of 4,200, with a downside bias. J.P. Morgan economists expect U.S. and global growth to slow by the end of 2024.

What is J.P. Morgan's 12-month forecast? ›

Stock Price Forecast

The 18 analysts with 12-month price forecasts for JPMorgan Chase stock have an average target of 198.44, with a low estimate of 159 and a high estimate of 228. The average target predicts an increase of 2.40% from the current stock price of 193.78.

What is the ultimate portfolio Motley Fool? ›

The Ultimate Portfolio for 2022 is a model portfolio built from stocks recommended in Stock Advisor and Rule Breakers, and works as an example for how you can better manage your risk through diversification without sacrificing your return potential.

What is Motley Fool's All in Buy Alert stock? ›

We regularly see similar ads from the Motley Fool about “all in” buy alerts, sometimes also called “double down” or “five star” buys, and they're generally just the type of steady teaser pitch that they can send out all year, over and over with no updates, to recruit subscribers for their flagship Motley Fool Stock ...

Is Schwab or J.P. Morgan better? ›

Simply put, Charles Schwab gives investors more to choose from. While both brokers provide traditional and Roth IRAs, only Charles Schwab offers other retirement options. You can open a custodial account at Schwab, but not at J.P. Morgan. The same is true if you want to open a joint tenant account.

Which is better, J.P. Morgan or Fidelity? ›

Is Fidelity better than J.P. Morgan Self-Directed Investing? After testing 18 of the best online brokers, our analysis finds that Fidelity (98.7%) is better than J.P. Morgan Self-Directed Investing (82.2%).

What are the cons of J.P. Morgan? ›

On the negative side, J.P. Morgan Self-Directed Investing is available only to US residents. The product portfolio is limited to stocks, ETFs, options, bonds and mutual funds. Lastly, research capabilities are weak as charting tools are limited and there are no recommendations or analytical tools.

Is JPM a good buy right now? ›

JPMorgan Chase stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is A1 and is based on 73 buy ratings, 11 hold ratings, and 4 sell ratings.

Is JPM overvalued? ›

Compared to the current market price of 197 USD, JPMorgan Chase & Co is Undervalued by 10%.

What is the average investor return for JP Morgan? ›

The "art" side of investing can be challenging because it's driven by behavior and emotions. From 2001 - 2020, the S&P 500 has returned 7.5%. However, according to research by JP Morgan, the average investor has achieved only 2.9% in returns in that same time period.

Is Bank of America stock a buy or sell? ›

Is Bank of America stock a Buy, Sell or Hold? Bank of America stock has received a consensus rating of buy. The average rating score is A1 and is based on 51 buy ratings, 23 hold ratings, and 7 sell ratings.

Is JPM stock overvalued? ›

A track record of outperformance

In the past five- and 10-year periods, JPMorgan has produced a higher total return than the S&P 500. That's an impressive track record that its shareholders can be pleased with. But thanks to this outperformance, the stock looks overvalued right now.

Why did JPM go down? ›

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) shares dipped 1.5% in Monday midday trading after CEO Jamie Dimon said the lender will not repurchase a lot of stock at current prices. Repurchasing shares at a valuation of 2.3 times tangible book value "is a mistake," Dimon said at the bank's Investor Day event.

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